Lobster potted

My first Lobster Moth arrived last night, along with another very big haul. He is just over a fortnight earlier than last year's debut for the species in my garden, which was on 1 July. This seems to be the trend this year. I'm hoping to find time to list some Flight Arrivals for the two years.  Meanwhile, can I possibly be right (a rare event) in thinking that the moth below is a Pale Mottled Willow?  Martin Wainwright, Thrupp, Oxon